Service Plays Sunday 7/25/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Jair Jurrjens (3-3, 4.25 ERA), Atlanta Braves

This young righthander’s productive return has been a huge lift to the Braves five-man rotation. Jurrjens, Atlanta’s most consistent arm in 2009, went on the shelf for two months at the start of the season but he seems to have put the injury behind him.

The Braves are 4-0 in his four appearances since rejoining the big club at the end of June, and he sports a 2.19 ERA over the same period.

Daisuke Matsuzaka (7-3, 4.29 ERA), Boston Red Sox

Dice-K’s control has been an issue since the talented righty first joined the big leagues. This season has been no different (17 walks in his first 34 2/3 innings).

But the Japanese import has shown better accuracy recently. He’s walked just two batters – compared to 11 strikeouts – in his last two starts and the Red Sox are 5-2 overall in his last seven trips to the bump.


Slumping

Kevin Slowey (8-5, 4.94 ERA), Minnesota Twins

Minnesota’s pitching staff looks pretty ugly these days outside of Carl Pavano and Francisco Liriano. Kevin Slowey is one of three starting hurlers who've been consistently terrible over the last month and a half.

Slowey’s 8.37 ERA over his seven starts is only half the problem for Twins backers. Minnesota’s bullpen routinely has to work long innings on Slowey’s scheduled starts because he’s pitched less than six innings in four of those seven trips to the mound.

The Twinkies are 0-4 and the over is 3-1 in his last four appearances.

Anthony Lerew (1-4, 8.54 ERA), Kansas City Royals

It stands to reason that the fifth man on the Royals’ rotation is one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball. Lerew is so bad he makes Brian Bannister and Kyle Davis look like aces.

The 27-year-old righty has allowed 18 earned runs in his last nine innings pitched. That’s an 18.00 ERA for those of you scoring at home.

He’s pitched less than three innings in each of his last two starts and the over has cashed in his last three appearances.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners (+135, 7.5)

Things finally boiled over for the reeling Mariners. The club is just 4-16 over its last 20 games and manager Don Wakamatsu and infielder Chone Figgins got into each other’s business on Friday night.

In the middle of the fifth inning, Wakamatsu took Figgins out of because for failing to back up Jack Wilson on a ball that got away from the shortstop.

“I didn’t think there was much effort on that backup, and I made a decision to take him out of the ballgame,” Wakamatsu told the Seattle Times after the 2-1 loss to Boston. “One thing people have got to understand is that everybody in that dugout cares. And tempers fly a little bit.”

Now does Figgins care about winning or about getting pulled in an embarrassing fashion from a ballgame?

Bettors might think this spillover would lead to some inspired play but we’re not sure if the M’s have strong enough leadership in their clubhouse to expect that kind of response.

Pick: Red Sox


St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs (+110, N/A)

The Cubs are well below .500 and fighting for third place the NL Central. They’re well behind the Cards and Reds for the division lead or Wildcard spot but St. Louis manager Tony La Russa isn’t ready to write of the Baby Bears.

"The only time that you would ever say that a team is not in the race is if you're talking about the last six weeks or even maybe the last month,'' La Russa told the Chicago Sun-Times on Friday. ''But look what the White Sox did. They got back in it in two weeks. The Cubs have a nice club, and Lou does a really good job.''

Chicago is trying its best to vindicate La Russa’s assessment. The Cubbies are 6-3 in their last nine games after taking the first two from the Cards in the weekend series.

We’re not buying the Cubs pulling off any type of miraculous hot streak to get them back in the NL Central race. Chicago’s a flawed team that has swept one home series – and that was a two-gamer back May – all season.

Pick: Cards

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bet

Tulsa Shock at Seattle Storm (-16.5, 163.5)

Just how bad are things for the Shock? That’s the question you’ve got to answer before betting the Sunday night game. Sure, Tulsa is rebuilding and looking towards its future. And sure, they dealt away one of their best players (center Kara Braxton) on Friday.

But 16.5 points is a lot to give, even for the Storm who’ve won 10 straight. Seattle has been a double-digit favorite just once and it won that game by just three points.

Playing the over seems like a safer bet. While the Shock aren’t exactly world beaters at the offensive end, the loss of Braxton should make things much easier for Seattle center Lauren Jackson.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

SF (-145) over ARI

 

[ugk]

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* St Louis Cardinals
3* Cincinnati Reds
3* Philadelphia Phillies

 

[ugk]

ROCKDEMAN SPORTS
$100 Texas Rangers -1.5 -110
$100 NY Mets -110 under 7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA TRENDS AND NOTES
WNBA Trend Factors And Indexes
By Dunkel


3:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. ATLANTA
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing New York

WNBA TRENDS

NEW YORK (11 - 10) at ATLANTA (14 - 9) - 7/25/2010, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEW YORK is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games since 1997.
NEW YORK is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TULSA (4 - 18) at SEATTLE (19 - 2) - 7/25/2010, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
TULSA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
TULSA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
TULSA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
SEATTLE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BRICKYARD 400
NASCAR Betting Preview And Picks
By Greg Engle


NASCAR Sprint Cup Series

After a rare off week, the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series gets back to action this week and heads to the famed Indianapolis Motor Speedway for Sunday’s Brickyard 400.

But this is more than just another race. Sure, the points in the season championship are the same as any other race, but winning at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway is an accomplishment that a racer in any form of motorsport wants to have. Because of that, look for everyone in the field to put forth a little extra effort Sunday to try and earn a chance to ‘kiss the bricks’.

That tradition is something that my top pick for this week, Jeff Gordon (+800), has done four times in his career, more than any other driver in NASCAR.

There is, though, one new variable this weekend. For the first time, NASCAR’s new generation stock cars have abandoned the wing for a spoiler. Some have speculated that the spoiler has changed the fortunes of several drivers since it was introduced in the spring. According to Gordon though, the spoiler shouldn’t be a big factor come Sunday.

“I like the spoiler.” Gordon said this week. “I like what it's doing to the cars. I like the way it looks. But from a performance standpoint, you know, it's very small change in performance. “

A winning plan will have to include Sunday will not only be performance, but reliability as well. And reliability is something Gordon and the No. 24 team has shown this season. Coming off the momentum of a third at the last stop in Chicagoland, look for them to be the ones to beat Sunday.

You certainly can’t count out last year’s winner. Jimmie Johnson (+400) has three wins here including back to back victories in 2008 and 2009. But unlike last year, there have been some chinks in the once seemingly impenetrable championship armor. So while he can’t be counted out, Johnson will be the hunter instead of the hunted this weekend.

Others To Watch

Kevin Harvick (+1200)

Harvick won here from the pole in 2003. In addition to his win and the one pole, he has three top five and six top 10 finishes at Indy. So far this season Harvick has been leading the points for longer than at any other time in his career; combine that with his on-track success this season and Harvick will definitely be a threat Sunday.

Tony Stewart (+1000)

Stewart is the one of the clutch players in NASCAR. When the odds seem to be at their lowest is when Stewart seems to shine. After growing up near the track and beginning his career in Indy cars this place holds a special place in his heart. After scoring two wins here, Stewart is able to back up that sentimentality with results; in addition to his two wins, he has five top five and seven top 10 finishes. Look for him to give that little extra this week as he tries to finish in front.

Head To Head Picks

Denny Hamlin vs. Kurt Busch

Hamlin has one top five and two top 10’s here while Busch has one top five and three top 10 finishes. So far this season both drivers have had some great runs. Hamlin has had the better year to date but Busch has the added pressure of working for Roger Penske who has enjoyed success at Indy on the open wheel side; look for Busch to step up his game in order to impress his boss and finish ahead of Hamlin this week.

Kyle Busch vs. Jeff Burton

Both have near equal records here; Busch one top five and three top 10s while Burton has one top five and four top 10s. Busch wants to win everywhere as does Burton, but Burton and his Richard Childress Racing team have shown more consistency and Burton himself more tenacity; look for Burton to prevail in this showdown.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Papayagang pick of the day

Texas Rangers RL
Oakland A's ML
Seattle Mariners ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

808 sports picks mlb
Bonus Play Atlanta -1.5
St Louis ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Reds
Cubs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLERS DATA
Texas -1.5 -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 8 runs bet. Boston and Seattle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

486 - 356 run 58 %
Bonus Play Sun Atl Braves -150

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gorans winners

Werder Bremen - Santander
Werder Bremen -0,75 ASIAn Hcp

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL MLB

St. Louis at Chicago Cubs
The Cardinals look to salvage a game in the series and build on their 8-2 record in Chris Carpenter's last 10 road starts versus teams with a losing record. St. Louis is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 25

Game 901-902: Colorado at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 13.654; Philadelphia (Happ) 15.718
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Under

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Florida (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 16.091; Florida (Volstad) 14.670
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Under

Game 905-906: San Diego at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (LeBlanc) 14.514; Pittsburgh (Lincoln) 15.056
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+135); Over

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 15.096; Houston (Rodriguez) 13.744
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Under

Game 909-910: Washington at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 14.196; Milwaukee (Bush) 14.644
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140); Under

Game 911-912: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.561; Cubs (Dempster) 14.854
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); N/A

Game 913-914: San Francisco at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.534; Arizona (Enright) 13.928
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-155); Under

Game 915-916: NY Mets at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Dickey) 13.798; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.537
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-175); Over

Game 917-918: Toronto at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Cecil) 15.019; Detroit (Galarraga) 14.695
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Over

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 15.373; Cleveland (Masterson) 16.691
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+135); Over

Game 921-922: Kansas City at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.091; NY Yankees (Hughes) 15.952
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-290); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-290); Over

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.387; Baltimore (Arrieta) 15.440
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110); Under

Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Hudson) 16.159; Oakland (Braden) 16.967
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-150); Over

Game 927-928: Boston at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.096; Seattle (Fister) 13.841
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-145); Over

Game 929-930: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Bell) 14.592; Texas (Hunter) 15.452
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-240); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-240); Under

Game 931-932: Toronto at Detroit (6:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Litsch) 14.126; Detroit (Bonderman) 15.489
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA DUNKEL

New York at Atlanta
The Liberty look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. New York is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: New York (+5)

Game 651-652: New York at Atlanta (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.029; Atlanta 111.033
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 3; 169
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5; 165 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5); Over

Game 653-654: Tulsa at Seattle (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 98.831; Seattle 120.872
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 22; 165
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 16 1/2; 163
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-16 1/2); Over
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sunday, July 25

Hot pitchers
-- Jurrjens is 3-0, 2.19 in his last four starts.
-- Francis is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
-- Leake is 2-0, 4.19 in his last three starts. WRodriguez is 4-1, 3.38 in his last five outings.
-- Dodgers are 5-0 in Kershaw day starts (3-0, 2.01).
-- Lincecum is 2-0, 2.61 in his last three starts. Enright has a 2.66 RA in his first four big league starts.
-- Carpenter is 2-0, 1.13 in his last couple starts.

-- O'Sullivan beat Bronx 10-2 Tuesday, allowing two runs in six IP for Angels (85 PT) before getting traded to Royals Thursday. That was his only big league start this season. He is 5-2, 5.15 in 11 big league starts.
-- Cecil is 1-0, 2.33 in his last three starts. Litsch has 2.84 RA in his last couple starts.
-- WDavis is 2-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Arrieta is 1-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 2-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts.
-- White Sox won first two DHudson starts (1-0, 5.06) scoring 21 runs.
-- Texas is 8-1 when Hunter starts (7-0, 2.41).

Cold pitchers
-- Happ is making first start since April 15; he was 1-0, 0.87 in his first two '10 starts.
-- Lincoln is 1-3, 6.70 in eight starts this season. LeBlanc is 0-4, 4.20 in his last five starts.
-- Volstad is 0-2, 7.32 in his last four starts.
-- Bush is 1-3, 5.40 in his last five starts.
-- Mets lost last five Dickey starts (2.57 RA in last two).
-- Cubs won last three Dempster starts, scoring 34 runs; he has a 6.65 RA in his last four outings.

-- Hughes has 6.69 RA in his last six starts.
-- Masterson is 0-1, 8.10 in his last three starts.
-- Bonderman has a 7.48 RA in his last five starts. Galarraga has a 6.67 RA in his last five starts.
-- Slowey is 0-0, 7.80 in his last three starts (Twins lost all three).
-- Braden is 0-3, 5.97 in his last six starts.
-- Fister is 0-5, 5.51 in his last eight starts.
-- TBell is 2-3, 7.94 in 23 games, making four starts LY; he was 2-0 in six AAA starts this year, with a 3.00 ERA. He is grandson of the guy who played Bozo the Clown on TV in the Chicago area for years.

Totals
-- Three of last four St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Francis starts went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven games at Dodger Stadium.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine San Diego games.
-- Five of last seven Houston games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Florida home games stayed under the total; seven of last nine Atlanta games went over. .
-- Over is 13-6 in last nineteen Lincecum starts.

-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Bronx games.
-- Five of last seven White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Baltimore games.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Cleveland games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Detroit games.
-- Under is 9-3 in last twelve Texas games.
-- Three of last four Fister home starts went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won six of their last nine games.
-- Phillies won last three games, outscoring foes 18-2.
-- Pirates are 9-6 in their last fifteen home games. Padres won seven of their last nine games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last ten games overall. Braves won five of their last seven road games.
-- Reds won six of their last nine games.
-- Brewers won their last five games at Miller Park.
-- Giants won 14 of their last 17 games.

-- Blue Jays are 5-2 since the All-Star break.
-- Twins won three of last four games, allowing five runs.
-- Indians won ten of their last thirteen home games.
-- Bronx won 13 of its last 17 games.
-- Rangers won five of their last seven games.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Cardinals lost last three games, after winning previous eight.
-- Rockies lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Nationals are 5-19 in last twenty-four road games.
-- Astros lost four of their last five home games.
-- Dodgers lost seven of their last ten games. Mets are 5-14 in their last 19 games on road.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last ten games.

-- Orioles lost eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Rays are 1-18 in their last 19 games in Cleveland.
-- Angels lost ten of their last thirteen road games.
-- Tigers lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Royals lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- White Sox are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Red Sox are 8-12 in their last twenty road games. Mariners lost 17 of their last 21 games.

Umpires
-- StL-Chi-- Six of last seven Davidson games went over the total.
-- Col-Phil-- Four of last five Reyburn games went over the total.
-- NY-LA-- Home side won nine of last ten Demuth games.
-- SD-Pitt-- Four of last five Reynolds games stayed under total.
-- Cin-Hst-- Eight of last nine Layne games stayed under total.
-- Wsh-Mil-- Last four Meals games went over the total.
-- Atl-Fla-- Six of last nine Cederstrom games stayed under total.
-- SF-Az-- Home side won 10 of last 12 Foster games.

-- KC-NY-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Fairchild games.
-- Chi-A's-- Underdog is 6-3 (+$356) in last nine Hirschbeck games.
-- Min-Balt-- Road team won four of last five Emmel games.
-- TB-Clev-- Five of last seven Johnson games stayed under total.
-- Tor-Det-- Five of last six Gorman games went over the total. Dogs are 12-4 in last sixteen Randazzo games.
-- LA-Tex-- Last seven Gibson games stayed under the total.
-- Bos-Sea-- Four of last five Estabrook games stayed under total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Suddenly hot Hondo made it four straight last night when he took two with the Dodgers and Giants to lower the NRN (nasty red number) to three figures at 960 pinsons.
Today, he's counting on Leake to hose the 'Stros -- 10 units on the Reds.